Abstract: This study proposed a risk assessment method based on Bayesian networks for complex system engineering with multiple types of work, strong concealment, and multiple uncertain factors.

The PyRenew package is a flexible tool for simulation and statistical inference of epidemiological models, emphasizing renewal models. Built on top of the numpyro Python library, pyrenew provides core ...

Abstract: A Bayesian network (BN) is a graphical model that represents causal relationships between events. BNs have been widely used in applications such as forecasting, diagnosis, and classification ...

In this work, we develop a new framework for designing experiments that are robust to model misspecification through generalised Bayesian inference. This repository contains the files needed to ...