Learn to apply Bayes' theorem in financial forecasting for insightful, updated predictions. Enhance decision-making with ...

“One of the basic axioms of the rational theory of decision under uncertainty is Savage’s (1954) sure-thing principle (STP). It states that if prospect x is preferred to y knowing that Event A ...

Learn how to trade Super Bowl LX at prediction markets. We explore the legal status of event contracts, account compliance, ...

Application of orthogonal CNOP-I in a convection-allowing ensemble prediction system based on CMA-MESO for improving extreme ...

As Uganda headed to the polls on 15 January 2026 for the presidential and parliamentary elections, a U.S.-based think tank predicted that President Museveni was likely to win the election by between ...

Following Western Washington’s historic flooding in December, Mount Vernon’s floodwall drew attention from a national ...

The risk of a new round of Israeli strikes against Iran is shaped less by a discrete ‘decision’ than by an unstable ...

A potential US annexation of Greenland could trigger NATO's collapse, creating an unprecedented black swan event. A collapse of NATO would have a significant effect on the US Treasury Bonds and the US ...

Omega Healthcare Investors and Medical Properties Trust are compared for their high yields and healthcare rental exposure. OHI trades near 5-year highs, reflecting superior cash flow visibility and ...