Learn how to trade Super Bowl LX at prediction markets. We explore the legal status of event contracts, account compliance, ...

Learn to apply Bayes' theorem in financial forecasting for insightful, updated predictions. Enhance decision-making with ...

Background Annually, 4% of the global population undergoes non-cardiac surgery, with 30% of those patients having at least ...

Abstract: If neural synapse is a probabilistic event, then one would expect that this is the result of a chain of subprocesses that takes place in axon. Thus, one can adjudicate probabilistic ...

This data series is part of the Center for Monetary Research. Zero Lower Bound Probabilities at Different Time Horizons is a daily measure of the likelihood that future short-term interest rates will ...

Which NFL teams have the best chances of winning their games on the NFL Week 1 schedule? ESPN Analytics has revealed its Matchup Predictor numbers for the 16 games in the league this week, and they ...

A recent Delaware Chancery Court opinion offers a significant example of how courts may apply complex probability analysis to determine the amount of damages in an earnout dispute. The case arose from ...

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Greg Licholai writes and teaches about innovation in healthcare. In a move that could dramatically reshape the landscape for rare ...

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Writes about the future of finance and technology, follow for more. Joint probability teaches us to calculate combined outcomes.

The prime task of an investor is to find opportunities with gaps between price and value, with price being fairly straightforward and value more of a challenge to assess. A common approach to estimate ...

Apple has added several improved and new features to the iOS 18 Calculator. You can now see your iPhone Calculator history, use Math Notes, do conversions, and enjoy an improved scientific calculator.