Discover how probability distribution methods can help predict stock market returns and improve investment decisions. Learn ...

The long-term peak in forward rates for U.S. Treasury exceeds the near-term peak, indicating a step toward normal yields. The streak of negative 2-year/10-year Treasury spreads has reached 292 trading ...

Explore Treasury yield forecasts: 3‑month bills likely 1%–2%, curve inversion odds, negative-rate risk, and default dangers ...

The normal distribution is the probability distribution that plots all of its values along a symmetrical bell curve, with the highest probabilities centered around the mean value and tapering out ...

Advances in Applied Probability, Vol. 45, No. 3 (SEPTEMBER 2013), pp. 876-893 (18 pages) For a family of linear preferential attachment graphs, we provide rates of convergence for the total variation ...