Kalshi is taking the country by storm, and new users who get started today ahead of Sunday’s pair of NFL postseason matchups can claim a $10 sign up bonus after making their first $100 worth of trades ...

In a Nature Communications study, researchers from China have developed an error-aware probabilistic update (EaPU) method ...

Discover how probability distribution methods can help predict stock market returns and improve investment decisions. Learn ...

It’s a new year and stocks are already off to a great start in 2026.YTD, the Dow is up 2.70%; the S&P is up 1.38%; the Nasdaq is up 1.18%, the small-cap Russell 2000 is up 7.89%; and the mid-cap S&P ...

Infantry once relied on numbers to solve uncertainty. When soldiers could not see or hit targets precisely, the answer was ...

Abstract: An analytical method for probabilistic voltage stability evaluation is proposed, which integrates the voltage stability region boundary (VSRB) and probability transformation method (PTM) ...

Application of orthogonal CNOP-I in a convection-allowing ensemble prediction system based on CMA-MESO for improving extreme ...

If AI-generated video and audio get good enough, deepfake detectors based on visual artifacts or other traditional signals won’t work anymore. But given how rarely people veer away from predictable ...

After pausing for nine months, the U.S. Federal Reserve resumed cutting interest rates on 17 September 2025. The recession forecasting method we've used to monitor the odds of a recession starting in ...

Introduction: Atrial fibrillation (AF) recurrence or spontaneous conversion to sinus rhythm (SR) are regarded as random events. Hypothesis: We hypothesized that the probability of spontaneous ...

Early-onset gastrointestinal (GI) cancers are rising at alarming rates worldwide and, in the U.S., are increasing faster than any other type of early-onset cancer, including breast cancer, according ...

This article was originally published at The Conversation. The publication contributed the article to Space.com's Expert Voices: Op-Ed & Insights I was preparing for my early morning class back in ...